The UFC 321 fight between Alexander Volkov and Jailton Almeida, which will take place on October 25, 2025, in Abu Dhabi, will be a key heavyweight bout. Today, Volkov vs Almeida odds reflect Volkov’s favoritism with odds of -150, while Almeida is rated at +130, highlighting the Russian’s experience against the Brazilian’s grappling talent. This fight is attracting attention as a potential title eliminator, with a prediction of a long match with an over/under of 2.5 rounds at -140. Experts note the clash of styles: Volkov’s striking versus Almeida’s control, which makes the odds vulnerable to shifts on fight night.
Volkov vs Almeida Predictions
Style analysis shows Almeida’s grappling dominance over Volkov’s striking. Volkov, with a 78-inch reach, relies on boxing and fight IQ, avoiding the ground game, where his takedown defense is 80%. Almeida, with a 79-inch reach, uses wrestling for control, as in his recent submission over Spivak in January 2025. Recent performances: Volkov has won 4 of 5, including a TKO over Tuivasa, but lost controversially to Gaun in December 2024. Almeida is on a 2-fight winning streak after losing to Blades, with 21:10 control time against Lewis in 2023. Luck is on Volkov’s side thanks to his UFC experience (12-5), but Almeida is younger (34) and more aggressive in the clinch.
The prediction of experts, including Thomas Aspinall, is leaning towards Volkov (55% chance of victory) as he knows how to keep his distance. But Volkov vs Almeida odds could shift to +110 for Volkov with news of Almeida’s form. Balance: Almeida’s grappling threatens submission (+300), but Volkov’s boxing favors KO (+400). Possible outcomes: Alexander unanimous decision (-120), Gilton submission in the 2nd (+450). Picks: Volkov moneyline or over 2.5 rounds.
| Parameter | Alexander Volkov | Jailton Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Record in UFC | 12-5 | 8-1 |
| Last 5 fights | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Strikes per min | 3.8 | 2.5 |
| Takedown avg | 0.5 | 3.2 |
This table illustrates Volkov’s advantage in striking, but Almeida’s advantage in grappling, adding to the intrigue of the clash. Overall verdict: Alexander wins on IQ, but Jailton is capable of an upset through ground control.
How to Bet on Volkov vs Almeida
The options to bet on Volkov vs Almeida include moneyline (Volkov -150, Almeida +130), prop bets (Volkov decision -120, Almeida submission +450), and over/under (2.5 rounds -140). Other types of bets: method of victory or round props (fight goes distance +100). Best strategies: value hunting – monitor the odds before October 25, as injuries will shift the lines. Manage your bankroll: bet no more than 3-5% on a single outcome, combine in parlays (Volkov win + over 1.5 rounds).
Tips for those who want to bet: focus on styles – Almeida’s grappling for underdog bets, Volkov’s boxing for safe picks. Live betting on fight night allows you to react to the pace, for example, if Volkov keeps his distance, his odds will drop. Study predictions and momentum: Alexander’s streak makes him reliable, but Jailton’s control time promises high rewards.
For maximum profit:
- Analyze the matchup: Volkov’s striking versus Almeida’s wrestling.
- Use bonuses at UFC events for free bets.
- Stick to data: prediction from experts like Aspinall.
Remember responsible gambling: limits will help you enjoy MMA without risk.
Alexander Volkov
Alexander Volkov, “Drago,” has a 38-11 record in MMA (12-5 in the UFC), debuting in 2016. Stats: 22 KO/TKO, 8 submissions, striking accuracy 55%, 3.8 strikes per minute, takedown defense 80%. Recent successes: TKO over Rozenstruik in 2022, Romanov in 2023, Tuivasa in 2024. After submitting Aspinall in 2022, he won 4 out of 5, including a decision over Pavlovich. At 36, Volkov relies on his reach (78 inches) and fight IQ, avoiding the ground game. As the No. 2 heavyweight, he is a threat to the title, with -150 odds reflecting his experience in boxing and clinching.
Jailton Almeida
Jailton Almeida, “Malhadinho,” has a 22-3 record in MMA (8-1 in the UFC), moving to heavyweight in 2022. Stats: 9 submissions, 5 KOs, 2.5 strikes per minute, 3.2 takedowns per minute, 88% submission defense. Achievements: RNC over Rozenstruik in 2023, decision over Lewis (21:10 control), submission over Spivak in 2025. After a TKO loss to Blades in 2024, he won two in a row. At 34, Almeida combines a black belt in BJJ with wrestling, and his 79-inch reach makes him versatile in the ground game. As the No. 5 contender, his prediction is for an upset through control.