On 14 June 2025, the boxing world will witness a thrilling super bantamweight clash: Naoya Inoue vs Alan Picasso. Fans and punters alike are closely watching this showdown, with sharp movement in the markets already underway. In this guide, we explore the latest Inoue vs Picasso betting odds, provide expert analysis, and help you place smart bets at top-rated bookmakers.
Naoya Inoue vs Alan Picasso betting odds
As of today, these are the updated odds from leading sportsbooks for this highly anticipated fight:
| Outcome | Average Odds |
| Naoya Inoue to win | 1.18 |
| Alan Picasso to win | 4.70 |
| Draw | 21.00 |
Naoya Inoue is the heavy favorite, with most bookmakers placing him below 1.20, signalling high confidence in a decisive performance. Alan Picasso, however, offers underdog value, especially for bettors seeking big payouts on upset scenarios.
Live betting options will likely open closer to the night, including round-specific betting, method of victory, and total rounds over/under. With early line shifts already visible, those planning to bet on this bout should lock in favourable odds now before the market corrects.
Inoue vs Picasso predictions
Experts suggest this bout could be more competitive than the odds imply. While Inoue dominates on paper, Picasso’s youth, reach, and hunger bring unpredictability.
| Prediction Type | Suggested Pick | Odds |
| Winner | Naoya Inoue | 1.18 |
| Method of Victory | Inoue by KO/TKO | 1.50 |
| Total Rounds | Under 8.5 Rounds | 1.90 |
| Picasso by Decision | Longshot Value | 10.50 |
Prediction models favour Inoue by early stoppage — his recent knockout record supports this view. Still, some analysts expect Picasso to push the fight deeper than expected, offering value in round betting.
If you’re placing a parlay on this event, combining Inoue by KO and Under 8.5 could offer solid returns. Be sure to compare odds across bookmakers to maximise value.
Naoya Inoue
Known as “The Monster”, Naoya Inoue enters this fight with an undefeated professional record:
- Record: 30-0 (27 KOs)
- Nationality: Japan
- Age: 32
- Stance: Orthodox
- Reach: 171 cm
Titles Held: WBC, WBO, IBF, WBA Super Bantamweight Champion
Inoue’s power, speed, and technical mastery make him a near-unbeatable force in the ring. He recently defended his unified title with a third-round TKO, extending his KO streak to five consecutive fights. Known for precise body shots and rapid combinations, Inoue’s aggression often overwhelms opponents early.
For those placing a bet, factoring in Inoue’s ability to finish quickly is critical — especially in round-specific betting markets. His past five wins all came before Round 9.
Alan Picasso
Mexican fighter Alan Picasso (full name: Alan David Picasso Romero) steps up to the world stage with confidence:
- Record: 31-0-1 (17 KOs)
- Nationality: Mexico
- Age: 24
- Stance: Orthodox
- Reach: 173 cm
- Titles Held: WBC Latino Champion
Picasso is young, undefeated, and has earned respect with tactical ring IQ and solid counters. Though lacking the power of Inoue, he brings excellent conditioning and high-volume punching. His upset over Hovhannisyan in 2024 showed he can handle pressure and deliver when underestimated.
He’ll need to survive early rounds and create openings in later stages — ideal for round spread bets or backing him via decision. While unlikely to be the outright winner, Picasso is the kind of opponent that can disrupt a dominant champion’s rhythm.
In conclusion, the 14 June boxing showdown offers massive value for punters — whether you’re betting on a KO, round total, or going bold on the underdog. With shifting odds, expert prediction insights, and diverse betting markets, now is the time to place your bet at Vivat bet and aim for high returns.