It’s game time! Estonia vs. Moldova. This is the final moment for the opponents in this World Cup 2026 qualification. They are both at the bottom of Group I. It’s simple: this is a “life and death” match. Win and you get a chance. Lose and you stay at the bottom. This is a battle of principles!
Match Details
| Parameter | Information |
|---|---|
| Competitions | Qualification for the football FIFA World Cup 2026 (Europe), 1st round, group I, 8th match |
| When will it take place | Tuesday, October 14, 2025 |
| Time (UTC) | 16:00 UTC (according to Sofascore and 365Scores) |
| Where will it take place | A Le Coq Arena (Tallinn, Estonia) |
| Number of places | 14,405 spectators |
This UEFA match is a chance for both teams to add to their points tally and end their long losing streak. Analysts are already making a prediction, and bookmakers are offering excellent odds on every bet.
Statistics of previous matches. Head to head
These teams rarely make the headlines. Don’t expect any stars! Estonia and Moldova are underdogs. Their rankings (129th and 156th) speak for themselves. The lineups are simple: players from national leagues and little-known clubs. But it is in these teams that we see the birth of national leaders! In Estonia, it is a forward, Rauno Sappinen, who gets the results. In Moldova, it is a forward, Ion Nicolae, who scores important goals.
In official 2026 World Cup qualification matches, the teams have played one game:
| Date | Tournament | Match | Score | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25.03.2025 | World Cup Qualification | Moldova – Estonia | 2:3 | Estonia |
| 17.11.2008 | Friendly match | Estonia – Moldova | 1:0 | Estonia |
| 18.02.2004 | Friendly match | Estonia – Moldova | 1:0 | Estonia |
| 21.08.2002 | Friendly match | Estonia – Moldova | 1:0 | Estonia |
| 25.04.2001 | Friendly match | Moldova – Estonia | 0:0 | Draw |
Historically, these teams have only met on the field a few times, so the prediction for this match is unpredictable.
Performance in Qualification
Our potential sensations, Estonia and Moldova, have yet to boast convincing results in the 2026 World Cup qualifying cycle. Their latest games looked like this:
| Key indicator | Estonia (1 win) | Moldova (0 wins) |
|---|---|---|
| Games lost | 4 out of 5 | All 5 |
| Total points | 3 | 0 |
| Offense (Scored) | 5 goals | 3 goals |
| Defense (Missed) | 13 goals | 25 goals |
| Total (Difference) | -8 | -22 |
The result is disappointing. Although Estonia managed to snatch one victory, overall both teams are showing how difficult this qualifying campaign is for them. Moldova is playing very poorly in defense.
UEFA World Cup Qualifiers Current standings
Standings of the Group I:
| № | Team | Games | W | D | L | GF:GA | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Norway | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 24:3 | 15 |
| 2 | Italy | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12:7 | 9 |
| 3 | Israel | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15:11 | 9 |
| 4 | Estonia | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 05:13 | 3 |
| 5 | Moldova | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 03:25 | 0 |
The table clearly shows that both teams are at the bottom of the table.
Predictions and betting odds
The current sports odds are as follows: Estonia is the favorite! Why? It’s very simple:
- Estonia is playing at home in Tallinn, which is their advantage;
- remember the last game: Estonia was better;
- they beat Moldova 3:2;
- the Estonians have already proven their superiority.
Considering these two factors, most bookmakers are offering very good odds and making a prediction in favor of the home team.
| Result | Coefficient (CF) | Probability (hidden) |
|---|---|---|
| Estonia wins | ≈1.80 | ≈55.5 % |
| Draw | ≈3.50 | ≈28.5 % |
| Moldova wins | ≈4.50 | ≈22.2 % |
Pay attention: the odds may vary.
Popular types of the bet:
- Match result (H1/D/A2). You can do betting on one of three outcomes: home win (H1), draw (D), or away win (A2).
- Total (Over/Under). Prediction on whether the final number of goals (or other indicators) will exceed a certain threshold or not.
- Handicap. A type of bet with a virtual advantage or disadvantage for one of the teams (F1(-1) – a convincing win for the first team (with a margin of ≥2 goals).
It will be a battle! The game will be very intense. The stands will play a key role. Estonia’s defense is slightly stronger. Our prediction: winner – Estonia. Final score – 1:0 or 2:1. Planning to do betting? Study the odds, use the tips, and enjoy every moment of the match!