Game 4 of the NBA Finals 2025 could be the series decider — or the turning point. With the championship potentially hanging in the balance, fans and expert bettors are zeroing in on updated odds, betting markets, and key player matchups. Let’s break down how to approach Game 4 strategically. At this stage, even small adjustments—like a lineup change or defensive switch—can shift the outcome. That’s why betting sharpness and timely analysis are crucial for success.
NBA finals game 4 betting predictions 2025
Heading into Game 4, sportsbooks have narrowed the lines based on previous results, momentum, and public betting trends. The latest NBA finals game 4 odds suggest a tightly contested matchup, with value on both sides of the market.
Team | Moneyline Odds | Spread | Total Points |
Indiana Pacers | 1.85 | -1.5 | 214.0 |
Oklahoma City Thunder | 1.95 | +1.5 | 214.0 |
The Pacers enter Game 4 as narrow favorites, thanks to home-court advantage and the chance to level or take control of the series. However, betting confidence in Oklahoma City has been growing — especially if their stars find an offensive rhythm early.
Both teams are showing signs of playoff fatigue, with physical matchups and slower pace starting to impact scoring. Bench production and defensive switches will likely determine how Game 4 unfolds.
If Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Jalen Williams get going early, Indiana could struggle to keep up with the tempo. Experts suggest backing Oklahoma +1.5, with value also on the under 214.0 in what could be a gritty, low-possession battle.
How to bet on NBA final game 4
Game 4 betting markets offer a mix of traditional and creative options, perfect for bettors looking to diversify:
- Moneyline: Bet on the outright winner — both teams are close in price, so value comes down to matchup insight.
- Spread: Currently set at Nuggets -1.5, this market often flips with injury updates.
- Over/Under: Total set at 214.0 — if fatigue kicks in, the under could cash again.
- Player Props:
- Jayson Tatum over 26.5 points
- Nikola Jokić over 11.5 rebounds
- Jamal Murray over 7.5 assists
- Derrick White over 2.5 threes made
Parlays and combo props also gain traction in Game 4. For instance, Celtics + Tatum 30+ points + under 215.0 could return over 7.00 odds, depending on your sportsbook.
Live betting is particularly powerful in this stage — watch for second-half momentum shifts, foul trouble, and prediction changes in pace. At Vivatbet, euro-denominated in-play options include point-by-point spreads, race-to-X points, and adjusted player stat totals.
Expert bettors suggest fading early overreaction — betting against the public line movement can often yield stronger returns in high-stakes games like this.
Game 4 NBA finals 2025 details
Game 4 of the NBA Finals 2025 takes place on Saturday, June 14, once again at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, with tip-off set for 9:00 PM ET. The matchup could mark the end of the championship series — or reignite it entirely.
As we approach Game 4 of the 2025 NBA Finals, the spotlight is on pivotal questions that could shape the outcome of the entire series:
- Can Indiana even the series at home and swing momentum back in their favour?
- Will Oklahoma City take a commanding 3–1 lead heading back to their home court?
- Which second unit will step up when starters rest or face foul trouble?
The Pacers are sharpening their perimeter defence and pushing the tempo to counter Oklahoma’s half-court control. Meanwhile, the Thunder continue to rely on their disciplined team play, clutch performances from Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, and disruptive defence led by Chet Holmgren.
Coaching strategy becomes critical here — expect tighter rotations, smarter timeout usage, and more matchup-based substitutions. All of these factors directly affect live odds, totals, and player prop markets.
Historically, over 60% of teams trailing 2–1 cover the spread in Game 4, even if they don’t win. Bettors banking on that stat will also weigh team morale, desperation, and crowd influence.
Some punters choose to bet early, focusing on pre-game matchups and injury news, while others wait for in-game momentum to develop before placing live wagers. Game 4 also presents strong opportunities for betting alternate spreads, player props, or same-game parlays.
It’s not just another matchup — it’s a moment to test your read on playoff pressure, emotional swings, and market shifts before the betting lines react.